Reliance Industries, freed from its non-compete agreement with the Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group (ADAG) that barred it from investing in high-growth sectors, is likely to make its first big-ticket investment in coal-fired power plants.
RIL, which is looking to invest surplus cash, is likely to settle on coal-based power plants thanks to the surging demand for electricity and the attractive rates of return, a person familiar with the group’s thinking said.
An RIL spokesperson declined to comment on the issue.
As part of the peace formula announced by RIL and ADAG two weeks ago, the non-compete agreement signed between the two companies in 2005 was scrapped, allowing Mukesh Ambani’s group to enter power, telecom, and financial services. The deal also gave ADAG the freedom to enter the petroleum, refining, and petrochemicals sector.
RIL’s possible entry into the power sector could throw up the intriguing possibility of the two brothers going head-to-head for the first time. But there is unlikely to be a clash as ADAG is already implementing two large power projects and may not be in a position to bid aggressively for more, the person said.
RIL is unlikely to enter the telecom sector, which has seen a steady fall in margins and rising competitive pressures, unless it can find a new-generation technology that will be capital efficient, the person said. He did not, however, rule out the possibility of RIL acquiring an existing telecom company. As far as financial services are concerned, RIL is unlikely to get into the space immediately as the market is still evolving, he added.
The company is clear that among the three new sectors open to it, power is the most lucrative and the challenge will lie in developing plants in record time and with the best technology. “The challenge is to come in before demand starts petering out, which is in the next six to seven years. We will have to build the plant within three years if the normal practice is five years and most importantly, we have to adopt cost-effective technology like clean coal to maximise the returns,” the person added.
The rationale is simple. The sector has a demand-supply gap of 14%, requiring capacity addition of 90,000-100,000 mw every five years, and power-generating companies rake in a healthy rate of return of around 20% on an average. The company would have to become a player within the next three years or else would miss the bus, the person said.
As the second-largest growing economy, India is still far below global standards in electricity capacity. China, for instance, adds 100,000 mw of capacity every year to fuel its economy.
RIL may have preferred to get into the gas-based clean power sector since it is the largest gas producer. But having reserved that sector for ADAG for the next 12 years, the company is looking at cashing in on mega coal-based power projects.
Labels: Mukesh Ambani, Reliance, Reliance Group, Reliance Industries, RIL